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Initial GeoBot Forecasting Framework commit
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"""
GeoBot 2.0 Analytical Engine
Main interface for conducting GeoBot 2.0 analysis. Integrates all lenses,
applies analytical priorities, and generates formatted output.
"""
from typing import Dict, List, Any, Optional
from dataclasses import dataclass, field
from .framework import GeoBotFramework
from .lenses import (
AnalyticalLenses,
GovernanceType,
CorruptionType,
MilitaryProfile
)
from .formatter import AnalysisFormatter, AnalysisOutput, Scenario
@dataclass
class AnalyticalPriorities:
"""
Analytical priorities for GeoBot 2.0.
Every analysis checks:
1. Governance structure impact
2. Logistics coherence
3. Corruption type and impact
4. Institutional context
5. Communication networks
6. Organizational cohesion
"""
priorities: List[str] = field(default_factory=lambda: [
"Governance structure impact - Does this scenario favor centralized decision-making or distributed adaptation?",
"Logistics coherence - Supply chains, maintenance, communications",
"Corruption type and impact - What kind of corruption exists? Does it critically impair this specific operation?",
"Institutional context - Are we analyzing this military using appropriate cultural/organizational frameworks?",
"Communication networks - Information flow and coordination",
"Organizational cohesion - Unit cohesion and morale"
])
def check_all(self, context: Dict[str, Any]) -> Dict[str, bool]:
"""
Check which priorities have been addressed in analysis.
Parameters
----------
context : Dict[str, Any]
Analysis context
Returns
-------
Dict[str, bool]
Priority checklist
"""
return {
'governance_structure': 'governance_type' in context,
'logistics': 'logistics_assessment' in context,
'corruption': 'corruption_type' in context,
'institutional_context': 'military_system' in context,
'communications': 'communications_status' in context,
'cohesion': 'cohesion_assessment' in context
}
class AnalyticalEngine:
"""
Main analytical engine for GeoBot 2.0.
Integrates framework, lenses, priorities, and formatter to provide
comprehensive geopolitical analysis.
"""
def __init__(self):
"""Initialize the analytical engine."""
self.framework = GeoBotFramework()
self.lenses = AnalyticalLenses()
self.priorities = AnalyticalPriorities()
self.formatter = AnalysisFormatter()
def analyze(
self,
query: str,
context: Dict[str, Any]
) -> str:
"""
Conduct complete GeoBot 2.0 analysis.
Parameters
----------
query : str
Analytical query or question
context : Dict[str, Any]
Context for analysis including:
- governance_type: GovernanceType
- corruption_type: CorruptionType
- military_system: str
- logistics_data: Dict
- scenario_description: str
Returns
-------
str
Formatted analysis
"""
# Apply all lenses
analysis_components = self._apply_lenses(context)
# Create structured output
output = self._create_output(query, context, analysis_components)
# Validate against framework
if not self.framework.validate_analysis(output.__dict__):
raise ValueError("Analysis does not adhere to GeoBot 2.0 framework")
# Format and return
return self.formatter.format_analysis(output)
def _apply_lenses(self, context: Dict[str, Any]) -> Dict[str, Any]:
"""
Apply all analytical lenses to context.
Parameters
----------
context : Dict[str, Any]
Analysis context
Returns
-------
Dict[str, Any]
Lens analyses
"""
components = {}
# Lens A: Logistics
components['logistics'] = self.lenses.logistics.analyze(context)
# Lens B: Governance
if 'governance_type' in context:
gov_type = context['governance_type']
scenario = context.get('scenario_description', 'General scenario')
components['governance'] = self.lenses.governance.analyze(
gov_type, scenario
)
else:
components['governance'] = {
'note': 'Governance type not specified'
}
# Lens C: Corruption
if 'corruption_type' in context:
corr_type = context['corruption_type']
operational_context = context.get('operational_context', 'General operations')
components['corruption'] = self.lenses.corruption.analyze(
corr_type, operational_context
)
else:
components['corruption'] = {
'note': 'Corruption type not specified'
}
# Lens D: Non-Western
if 'military_system' in context:
military = context['military_system']
components['non_western'] = self.lenses.non_western.analyze(military)
else:
components['non_western'] = {
'note': 'Military system not specified'
}
return components
def _create_output(
self,
query: str,
context: Dict[str, Any],
components: Dict[str, Any]
) -> AnalysisOutput:
"""
Create structured analysis output.
Parameters
----------
query : str
Original query
context : Dict[str, Any]
Analysis context
components : Dict[str, Any]
Lens analysis components
Returns
-------
AnalysisOutput
Structured output
"""
# Extract or create summary
summary = context.get('summary', f"Analysis of: {query}")
# Governance analysis
governance_analysis = {
'system_type': context.get('governance_type', 'Not specified'),
**components.get('governance', {})
}
# Logistics analysis
logistics_analysis = {
'assessment': context.get('logistics_assessment', 'Requires detailed logistics data'),
**components.get('logistics', {})
}
# Corruption assessment
corruption_assessment = {
'corruption_type': context.get('corruption_type', 'Not specified'),
**components.get('corruption', {})
}
# Non-Western perspective
non_western_perspective = {
'military_system': context.get('military_system', 'Not specified'),
**components.get('non_western', {})
}
# Scenarios
scenarios = context.get('scenarios', [])
# Uncertainty
uncertainty = context.get('uncertainty_factors', [
"Limited visibility into internal decision-making",
"Intelligence gaps in operational readiness",
"Uncertainty in actor intentions"
])
# Signals
signals = context.get('signals_to_watch', [
"Changes in leadership or command structure",
"Shifts in training tempo or deployment patterns",
"Procurement and supply chain activity"
])
# Comparative notes
comparative = context.get('comparative_notes')
return self.formatter.create_structured_output(
summary=summary,
governance=governance_analysis,
logistics=logistics_analysis,
corruption=corruption_assessment,
non_western=non_western_perspective,
scenarios=scenarios,
uncertainty=uncertainty,
signals=signals,
comparative=comparative
)
def quick_analysis(
self,
query: str,
governance_type: GovernanceType,
corruption_type: CorruptionType,
military_system: str,
summary: str,
**kwargs
) -> str:
"""
Quick analysis with minimal context.
Parameters
----------
query : str
Analysis query
governance_type : GovernanceType
Type of governance system
corruption_type : CorruptionType
Type of corruption present
military_system : str
Military system being analyzed
summary : str
Assessment summary
**kwargs
Additional context
Returns
-------
str
Formatted analysis
"""
context = {
'governance_type': governance_type,
'corruption_type': corruption_type,
'military_system': military_system,
'summary': summary,
**kwargs
}
return self.analyze(query, context)
def compare_governance_systems(
self,
scenario: str,
authoritarian_context: Dict[str, Any],
democratic_context: Dict[str, Any]
) -> str:
"""
Compare authoritarian vs democratic systems for a scenario.
Parameters
----------
scenario : str
Scenario description
authoritarian_context : Dict[str, Any]
Context for authoritarian system
democratic_context : Dict[str, Any]
Context for democratic system
Returns
-------
str
Comparative analysis
"""
comparison = self.lenses.governance.compare_systems(scenario)
output = [
f"COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS: {scenario}",
"",
"AUTHORITARIAN/CENTRALIZED SYSTEMS:",
"Advantages:"
]
for adv in comparison['authoritarian']['advantages']:
output.append(f" - {adv}")
output.append("\nDisadvantages:")
for dis in comparison['authoritarian']['disadvantages']:
output.append(f" - {dis}")
output.append("\nDEMOCRATIC/CONSENSUS SYSTEMS:")
output.append("Advantages:")
for adv in comparison['democratic']['advantages']:
output.append(f" - {adv}")
output.append("\nDisadvantages:")
for dis in comparison['democratic']['disadvantages']:
output.append(f" - {dis}")
output.append(f"\nKEY INSIGHT: {comparison['key_insight']}")
return "\n".join(output)
def assess_corruption_impact(
self,
corruption_type: CorruptionType,
operation_type: str
) -> str:
"""
Assess corruption impact on specific operation type.
Parameters
----------
corruption_type : CorruptionType
Type of corruption
operation_type : str
Type of operation
Returns
-------
str
Impact assessment
"""
return self.lenses.corruption.assess_impact(corruption_type, operation_type)
def get_framework_summary(self) -> Dict[str, Any]:
"""
Get summary of GeoBot 2.0 framework.
Returns
-------
Dict[str, Any]
Framework summary
"""
return self.framework.get_framework_summary()
def get_analytical_priorities(self) -> List[str]:
"""
Get list of analytical priorities.
Returns
-------
List[str]
Analytical priorities
"""
return self.priorities.priorities