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(ILMN) a Buy Now?\nBy Zacks Equity Research\nPublished on: 2022-08-18T13:00:06Z\n\nZacks.com users have recently been watching Illumina (ILMN) quite a bit. Thus, it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects.\n\nArticle Content:\n\nILMN Quick QuoteILMN\nIllumina (ILMN Quick QuoteILMN - Free Report) has recently been on Zacks.com's list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance in the near future.\nOver the past month, shares of this genetic testing tools company have returned +6.2%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +10.8% change. During this period, the Zacks Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, which Illumina falls in, has gained 0.9%. The key question now is: What could be the stock's future direction?\nAlthough media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision.\nEarnings Estimate Revisions\nRather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings.\nWe essentially look at how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to reflect the impact of the latest business trends. And if earnings estimates go up for a company, the fair value for its stock goes up. A higher fair value than the current market price drives investors' interest in buying the stock, leading to its price moving higher. This is why empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.\nIllumina is expected to post earnings of $0.40 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-over-year change of -72.4%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed -63.5%.\nThe consensus earnings estimate of $2.96 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of -49.8%. This estimate has changed -31.6% over the last 30 days.\nFor the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $4.38 indicates a change of +48% from what Illumina is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed -17.8%.\nWith an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) for Illumina.\nThe chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:\n12 Month EPS\nProjected Revenue Growth\nEven though a company's earnings growth is arguably the best indicator of its financial health, nothing much happens if it cannot raise its revenues. It's almost impossible for a company to grow its earnings without growing its revenue for long periods. Therefore, knowing a company's potential revenue growth is crucial.\nFor Illumina, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $1.19 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +7.2%. For the current and next fiscal years, $4.74 billion and $5.61 billion estimates indicate +4.7% and +18.5% changes, respectively.\nLast Reported Results and Surprise History\nIllumina reported revenues of $1.16 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +3.2%. EPS of $0.57 for the same period compares with $1.87 a year ago.\nCompared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.22 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of -4.73%. The EPS surprise was -9.52%.\nOver the last four quarters, Illumina surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. The company topped consensus revenue estimates three times over this period.\nValuation\nWithout considering a stock's valuation, no investment decision can be efficient. In predicting a stock's future price performance, it's crucial to determine whether its current price correctly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects.\nComparing the current value of a company's valuation multiples, such as its price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), to its own historical values helps ascertain whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, whereas comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of how reasonable its stock price is.\nAs part of the Zacks Style Scores system, the Zacks Value Style Score (which evaluates both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics) organizes stocks into five groups ranging from A to F (A is better than B; B is better than C; and so on), making it helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.\nIllumina is graded D on this front, indicating that it is trading at a premium to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.\nBottom Line\nThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Illumina. However, its Zacks Rank #4 does suggest that it may underperform the broader market in the near term.\nIllumina, Inc. (ILMN) - free report >>\nOur experts picked 7 Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buy stocks with the best chance to skyrocket within the next 30-90 days.\nRecent stocks from this report have soared up to +178.7% in 3 months - this month's picks could be even better. See our report's 7 new picks today, absolutely FREE.\nThis page has not been authorized, sponsored, or otherwise approved or endorsed by the companies represented herein. Each of the company logos represented herein are trademarks of Microsoft Corporation; Dow Jones & Company; Nasdaq, Inc.; Forbes Media, LLC; Investor's Business Daily, Inc.; and Morningstar, Inc.\nAt the center of everything we do is a strong commitment to independent research and sharing its profitable discoveries with investors. This dedication to giving investors a trading advantage led to the creation of our proven Zacks Rank stock-rating system. Since 1988 it has more than doubled the S&P 500 with an average gain of +23.96% per year. These returns cover a period from January 1, 1988 through October 2, 2023. Zacks Rank stock-rating system returns are computed monthly based on the beginning of the month and end of the month Zacks Rank stock prices plus any dividends received during that particular month. A simple, equally-weighted average return of all Zacks Rank stocks is calculated to determine the monthly return. The monthly returns are then compounded to arrive at the annual return. Only Zacks Rank stocks included in Zacks hypothetical portfolios at the beginning of each month are included in the return calculations. Zacks Ranks stocks can, and often do, change throughout the month. Certain Zacks Rank stocks for which no month-end price was available, pricing information was not collected, or for certain other reasons have been excluded from these return calculations.\n\nSource: Zacks Investment Research\n", + "timestamp_ms": 1660827606000, + "published_utc": "2022-08-18T13:00:06Z", + "article_url": "https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1969552/is-trending-stock-illumina-inc-ilmn-a-buy-now", + "label_type": [ + "[2][c] Stock Recommendations", + "[1][c] Company-Specific News" + ], + "label_time": [ + "[3][a] Short-Term Outlook (Next 3\u20136 months)", + "[2][b] Recent Trends (Past Few Weeks \u2013 Ongoing)" + ], + "label_sentiment": [ + "[3][a] Bearish" + ] + }, + "trend": { + "input_percentage_change": 11.565992710895994, + "input_bin_label": ">+4%", + "output_percentage_change": -5.104211125337887, + "output_bin_label": "<-4%", + "overall_percentage_change": 10.115002613695761, + "overall_bin_label": ">+4%" + }, + "technical": { + "in_sma_10": [ + 191.3, + 189.95, + 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