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Earnings Report?\nBy Zacks Equity Research\nPublished on: 2023-05-26T15:31:28Z\n\nMarkel (MKL) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock? We take a look at earnings estimates for some clues.\n\nArticle Content:\n\nMKL Quick QuoteMKL\nYou follow Realtime BLOG - edit\nRealtime BLOG\nIt has been about a month since the last earnings report for Markel (MKL Quick QuoteMKL - Free Report) . Shares have lost about 0.7% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.\nWill the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Markel due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.\nMarkel Q1 Earnings Beat on Premium Growth, Rise Y/YMarkel reported first-quarter 2023 earnings of $17.35 per share, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.9% and our estimate of $15.3. The bottom line increased 53.1% year over year.Total operating revenues of $3,270.8 million missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.4% and our estimate of $3,349.3 million. The top line rose 10.3% year over year in the first quarter.Markel witnessed a rise in earned premiums, product revenues, and higher net investment income, offset by an increase in expenses and a deterioration in the combined ratio.\nEarned premiums increased 11.8% year over year to $1,967.7 million in the quarter. The increase was due to continued growth in gross premium volume from new business, and more favorable rates in the period. This metric missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.5% but beat our estimate of $1,871.6 million.Net investment income increased 72.6% year over year to $159.3 million in the first quarter, driven by higher interest income on short-term investments as a result of a high interest rate environment. It beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.1% and our estimate of $144.5 million.Total operating expenses of Markel increased 9.2% year over year to $2,889.5 million primarily due to higher losses and loss adjustment expenses, underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses, and product expenses. Our estimate for the metric stood at $2,917.6 million.Markel\u2019s combined ratio deteriorated 500 bps year over year to 94 in the reported quarter.\nInsurance: Gross premium increased 8% year over year to $2,097.9 million. The uptick was driven by new business volume, more favorable rates and expanded product offerings, resulting in growth across all its product lines.Underwriting profit was $96.5 million, down 49% year over year. The combined ratio deteriorated 710 bps year over year to 94.4 due to higher attritional loss ratios resulting from the negative impacts of recent claim trends, and social and economic inflation.Reinsurance: Gross premiums decreased 4% year over year to $552.1 million, attributable to lower gross premiums within professional liability and surety and credit product lines, partly offset by higher gross premiums within several other product lines, driven by the favorable impacts of the timing of renewal.Underwriting profit of $24.2 million skyrocketed 82% year over year. The combined ratio improved 470 bps year over year to 90.6 in the first quarter due to favorable developments in property product and professional liability lines.Markel Ventures: Operating revenues of $1,104.7 million improved 16.2% year over year in 2023. Operating income of $72.6 million increased 46% year over year.\nMarkel exited 2023 with investments, cash and cash equivalents, and restricted cash and cash equivalents of $28,008.9 million as of Mar 31, 2023, up from $27,419.5 million at 2022-end.The debt balance decreased year over year to $3,896.8 million as of Mar 31, 2023, from $4,103.6 million at 2022-end. The debt-to-capital ratio was 22% as of Mar 31, 2023, reflecting an improvement of 200 basis points from the 2022 end.Book value per share increased 5.2% from the 2022 end to $984.33 as of Mar 31, 2023.Operating cash flow of $284.2 million in the first quarter deteriorated 31.5% year over year due to a huge amount paid to complete a retroactive transaction for reinsurance.\nHow Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?\nIt turns out, estimates review flatlined during the past month.\nVGM Scores\nAt this time, Markel has a nice Growth Score of B, though it is lagging a lot on the Momentum Score front with a D. However, the stock was allocated a grade of B on the value side, putting it in the top 40% for this investment strategy.\nOverall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of B. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.\nOutlook\nMarkel has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.\nMarkel Group Inc. (MKL) - free report >>\nOur experts picked 7 Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buy stocks with the best chance to skyrocket within the next 30-90 days.\nRecent stocks from this report have soared up to +178.7% in 3 months - this month's picks could be even better. See our report's 7 new picks today - it's really free!\nThis page has not been authorized, sponsored, or otherwise approved or endorsed by the companies represented herein. Each of the company logos represented herein are trademarks of Microsoft Corporation; Dow Jones & Company; Nasdaq, Inc.; Forbes Media, LLC; Investor's Business Daily, Inc.; and Morningstar, Inc.\nAt the center of everything we do is a strong commitment to independent research and sharing its profitable discoveries with investors. This dedication to giving investors a trading advantage led to the creation of our proven Zacks Rank stock-rating system. Since 1988 it has more than doubled the S&P 500 with an average gain of +23.96% per year. These returns cover a period from January 1, 1988 through October 2, 2023. Zacks Rank stock-rating system returns are computed monthly based on the beginning of the month and end of the month Zacks Rank stock prices plus any dividends received during that particular month. A simple, equally-weighted average return of all Zacks Rank stocks is calculated to determine the monthly return. The monthly returns are then compounded to arrive at the annual return. Only Zacks Rank stocks included in Zacks hypothetical portfolios at the beginning of each month are included in the return calculations. Zacks Ranks stocks can, and often do, change throughout the month. Certain Zacks Rank stocks for which no month-end price was available, pricing information was not collected, or for certain other reasons have been excluded from these return calculations.\n\nSource: Zacks Investment Research\n", + "timestamp_ms": 1685115088000, + "published_utc": "2023-05-26T15:31:28Z", + "article_url": "https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2100419/why-is-markel-mkl-down-07-since-last-earnings-report", + "label_type": [ + "[1][b] Stock Market Updates", + "[2][a] Fundamental Analysis", + "[2][c] Stock Recommendations" + ], + "label_time": [ + "[1][a] Short-Term Retrospective (\u2264 3 months)", + "[3][a] Short-Term Outlook (Next 3\u20136 months)" + ], + "label_sentiment": [ + "[2][a] Balanced/Informational" + ] + }, + "trend": { + "input_percentage_change": 1.701770128981837, + "input_bin_label": "-2% ~ +2%", + "output_percentage_change": 0.6023333558452095, + "output_bin_label": "-2% ~ +2%", + "overall_percentage_change": 2.038512766101536, + "overall_bin_label": "+2% ~ 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