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Read more on the short interest for AMD that took place during this process.\n\nArticle Content:\n\nKlaus Vedfelt/DigitalVision via Getty Images\nKlaus Vedfelt/DigitalVision via Getty Images\nLast month, chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) finally completed its acquisition of Xilinx. Investors had been waiting eagerly for this deal to close, as it would build a stronger chip player for the future. One of the items I had been watching during this process was short interest for AMD, and now that the two companies are one, a dramatic shift has taken place.\nBack in November 2020, I detailed how AMD short interest surged after the deal was first announced, something that I had expected to happen. This was a large purchase for AMD, so there was definitely some risk involved, and that likely helped increase bets against the name. However, the biggest reason I saw for the surge in shorts was that Xilinx shares were trading at a large discount to their theoretical deal purchase price. That gap actually increased over time, blowing out in late 2021 as the deal was delayed a bit. There was definitely an arbitrage possibility, with investors going long Xilinx and short AMD.\nIn the first half of February, short interest for AMD jumped a bit just after the deal was completed. Logically, this would seem appropriate because AMD's share count went from less than 1.2 billion to hover around 1.63 billion due to the all-stock nature of the Xilinx deal. However, things changed in a significant way in the back half of last month as the chart below shows.\nAMD Short Interest (NASDAQ)\nAMD Short Interest (NASDAQ)\n(Note: Last data point on chart is for settlement of 2/28/22)\nMore than 42.5 million shares short were covered in the second half of February. That's the largest numerical drop seen since I started tracking this data in the middle of 2015. This also put short interest at its lowest point since the Xilinx deal was announced back in October 2020. That might be a bit surprising to some, because as I detailed above, the outstanding share count has risen by over 400 million shares in the past month due to the acquisition.\nSo why have so many short sellers suddenly disappeared? Well, there are three reasons in my opinion. The first is the opposite of why short interest jumped in the first place here. Once the deal closed, there was no arbitrage gap to take advantage of. Over the next couple of weeks, anyone involved in that pair trade probably unwound their short positions.\nThe second reason here is that you have a stronger and larger company moving forward. When we went into the Q4 report for AMD, analysts were looking for $19.26 billion in revenue this year and non-GAAP earnings per share of $3.37. AMD's beat and solid guidance helped estimates to rise, but the Xilinx deal was obviously more important for overall numbers. Now, street estimates are calling for 54% growth in revenues to $25.31 billion for the combined company, along with non-GAAP EPS of $4.02 (44% growth). The deal should also be good for free cash flow moving forward, something AMD had improved on tremendously in recent years, to begin with.\nThe new free cash flow profile gets me to reason three, and that was the announced $8 billion share repurchase plan. This is in addition to AMD's prior $4 billion buyback plan that was about three quarters done. Investors knew that once the Xilinx deal went through, a new buyback would eventually come as AMD looks to offset that significant dilution. With a market cap of about $170 billion currently, the share count won't come down to pre-deal levels anytime soon, but it's better than seeing the number of shares rise further.\nAs for AMD shares, they finished last week near the bottom end of their trading range over the past few months. The chart below shows how shares dropped with the overall market, and they've lost both their 50-day moving average (purple line) and 200-day moving average (orange line). Unless we get a dramatic comeback in the next few trading days, we are likely to see the dreaded death cross as the short-term trend line breaks below its longer-term counterpart. Interestingly enough, the street remains extremely bullish on AMD, with the average price target representing 45% upside from last week's finish.\nAMD 1-Year Chart (Yahoo! Finance)\nAMD 1-Year Chart (Yahoo! Finance)\nIn the end, AMD saw a dramatic change in short interest in the second half of February. The stock saw its largest number of shares short covered in the time that I've followed this name. This happened in the weeks following the Xilinx deal closing, as analyst estimates rose and the company announced a new buyback plan. While this looks like a good name for the longer term, I'm hesitant to recommend buying right now as the market remains uneasy over the Russia/Ukraine situation and the Fed's plan to start hiking interest rates.\nThis article was written by\nAnalyst\u00e2\u0080\u0099s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Investors are always reminded that before making any investment, you should do your own proper due diligence on any name directly or indirectly mentioned in this article. Investors should also consider seeking advice from a broker or financial adviser before making any investment decisions. Any material in this article should be considered general information, and not relied on as a formal investment recommendation.\nSeeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.\n\nSource: Seeking Alpha\n", + "timestamp_ms": 1647325622000, + "published_utc": "2022-03-15T06:27:02Z", + "article_url": "https://seekingalpha.com/article/4495492-amd-short-interest-drops-with-xilinx-deal-done", + "label_type": [ + "[1][c] Company-Specific News", + "[2][c] Stock Recommendations" + ], + "label_time": [ + "[1][a] Short-Term Retrospective (\u2264 3 months)", + "[2][b] Recent Trends (Past Few Weeks \u2013 Ongoing)" + ], + "label_sentiment": [ + "[1][c] Upbeat Market Reaction" + ] + }, + "trend": { + "input_percentage_change": -2.3938480184865885, + "input_bin_label": "-2% ~ -4%", + "output_percentage_change": 9.064399105018623, + "output_bin_label": ">+4%", + "overall_percentage_change": -0.32897584624708653, + "overall_bin_label": "-2% ~ +2%" + }, + "technical": { + "in_sma_10": [ + 115.51, + 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