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Wall Street Analysts Think 81%\nBy Zacks Equity Research\nPublished on: 2021-12-28T15:00:10Z\n\nThe consensus price target hints at an 81% upside potential for Citi Trends (CTRN). While empirical research shows that this sought-after metric is hardly effective, an upward trend in earnings estimate revisions could mean that the stock will witness an upside in the near term.\n\nArticle Content:\n\nCTRN Quick QuoteCTRN\nShares of Citi Trends (CTRN Quick QuoteCTRN - Free Report) have gained 0% over the past four weeks to close the last trading session at $78.27, but there could still be a solid upside left in the stock if short-term price targets of Wall Street analysts are any indication. Going by the price targets, the mean estimate of $141.67 indicates a potential upside of 81%.\nThe mean estimate comprises three short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $30.55. While the lowest estimate of $115 indicates a 46.9% increase from the current price level, the most optimistic analyst expects the stock to surge 123.6% to reach $175. It's very important to note the standard deviation here, as it helps understand the variability of the estimates. The smaller the standard deviation, the greater the agreement among analysts.\nWhile the consensus price target is a much-coveted metric for investors, solely banking on this metric to make an investment decision may not be wise at all. That's because the ability and unbiasedness of analysts in setting price targets have long been questionable.\nBut, for CTRN, an impressive average price target is not the only indicator of a potential upside. Strong agreement among analysts about the company's ability to report better earnings than they predicted earlier strengthens this view. While a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions doesn't gauge how much a stock could gain, it has proven to be powerful in predicting an upside.\nHere's What You Should Know About Analysts' Price Targets\nAccording to researchers at several universities across the globe, a price target is one of many pieces of information about a stock that misleads investors far more often than it guides. In fact, empirical research shows that price targets set by several analysts, irrespective of the extent of agreement, rarely indicate where the price of a stock could actually be heading.\nWhile Wall Street analysts have deep knowledge of a company's fundamentals and the sensitivity of its business to economic and industry issues, many of them tend to set overly optimistic price targets. Are you wondering why?\nThey usually do that to drum up interest in shares of companies that their firms either have existing business relationships with or are looking to be associated with. In other words, business incentives of firms covering a stock often result in inflated price targets set by analysts.\nHowever, a tight clustering of price targets, which is represented by a low standard deviation, indicates that analysts have a high degree of agreement about the direction and magnitude of a stock's price movement. While that doesn't necessarily mean the stock will hit the average price target, it could be a good starting point for further research aimed at identifying the potential fundamental driving forces.\nThat said, while investors should not entirely ignore price targets, making an investment decision solely based on them could lead to disappointing ROI. So, price targets should always be treated with a high degree of skepticism.\nWhy CTRN Could Witness a Solid Upside\nThere has been increasing optimism among analysts lately about the company's earnings prospects, as indicated by strong agreement among them in revising EPS estimates higher. And that could be a legitimate reason to expect an upside in the stock. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.\nThe Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has increased 9.2% over the past month, as one estimate has gone higher compared to no negative revision.\nMoreover, CTRN currently has a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), which means it is in the top 5% of more than the 4,000 stocks that we rank based on four factors related to earnings estimates. Given an impressive externally-audited track record, this is a more conclusive indication of the stock's potential upside in the near term. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>>\nTherefore, while the consensus price target may not be a reliable indicator of how much CTRN could gain, the direction of price movement it implies does appear to be a good guide.\nCiti Trends, Inc. (CTRN) - free report >>\nOur experts picked 7 Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buy stocks with the best chance to skyrocket within the next 30-90 days.\nRecent stocks from this report have soared up to +178.7% in 3 months - this month's picks could be even better. See our report's 7 new picks today, absolutely FREE.\nThis page has not been authorized, sponsored, or otherwise approved or endorsed by the companies represented herein. Each of the company logos represented herein are trademarks of Microsoft Corporation; Dow Jones & Company; Nasdaq, Inc.; Forbes Media, LLC; Investor's Business Daily, Inc.; and Morningstar, Inc.\nAt the center of everything we do is a strong commitment to independent research and sharing its profitable discoveries with investors. This dedication to giving investors a trading advantage led to the creation of our proven Zacks Rank stock-rating system. Since 1988 it has more than doubled the S&P 500 with an average gain of +23.96% per year. These returns cover a period from January 1, 1988 through October 2, 2023. Zacks Rank stock-rating system returns are computed monthly based on the beginning of the month and end of the month Zacks Rank stock prices plus any dividends received during that particular month. A simple, equally-weighted average return of all Zacks Rank stocks is calculated to determine the monthly return. The monthly returns are then compounded to arrive at the annual return. Only Zacks Rank stocks included in Zacks hypothetical portfolios at the beginning of each month are included in the return calculations. Zacks Ranks stocks can, and often do, change throughout the month. Certain Zacks Rank stocks for which no month-end price was available, pricing information was not collected, or for certain other reasons have been excluded from these return calculations.\n\nSource: Zacks Investment Research\n", + "timestamp_ms": 1640703610000, + "published_utc": "2021-12-28T15:00:10Z", + "article_url": "https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1844331/how-much-upside-is-left-in-citi-trends-ctrn-wall-street-analysts-think-81", + "label_type": [ + "[2][c] Stock Recommendations", + "[1][c] Company-Specific News", + "[2][a] Fundamental Analysis" + ], + "label_time": [ + "[3][a] Short-Term Outlook (Next 3\u20136 months)", + "[2][a] Real-Time Market Developments" + ], + "label_sentiment": [ + "[1][a] Bullish" + ] + }, + "trend": { + "input_percentage_change": -4.684837506916751, + "input_bin_label": "<-4%", + "output_percentage_change": 11.106093001452054, + "output_bin_label": ">+4%", + "overall_percentage_change": 11.545160487683505, + "overall_bin_label": ">+4%" + }, + 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