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(NTGR) Down 3.6% Since Last Earnings Report?\nBy Zacks Equity Research\nPublished on: 2022-03-04T16:30:53Z\n\nNETGEAR, Inc. (NTGR) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock? We take a look at earnings estimates for some clues.\n\nArticle Content:\n\nNTGR Quick QuoteNTGR\nYou follow Realtime BLOG - edit\nRealtime BLOG\nA month has gone by since the last earnings report for NETGEAR, Inc. (NTGR Quick QuoteNTGR - Free Report) . Shares have lost about 3.6% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.\nWill the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is NETGEAR, Inc. due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.\nNETGEAR\u2019s Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues MissNETGEAR reported tepid fourth-quarter 2021 results, with both the earnings and revenues declining on a year-over-year basis. The bottom line beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate but the top line missed the same.Lowered first-quarter outlook due to persistent supply chain woes in the face of the pandemic is expected to hamper the top line of both Connected Home Products (CHP) and Small and Medium Business (SMB) units. Despite such a challenging situation, NETGEAR continues to witness a solid demand environment for its avant-garde Wi-Fi 6 offerings. Moreover, increased penetration into the premium segment of the market, along with an accretive subscriber base and continued market share gains in the U.S. Retail Wi-Fi market, is a significant tailwind.\nOn a GAAP basis, net loss in the quarter was $1 million or a loss of 3 cents per share against net income of $30.9 million or 99 cents per share in the year-ago quarter. The drastic deterioration was mainly due to year-over-year top-line contraction and lower operating income.Quarterly non-GAAP net income was $8.1 million or 27 cents per share compared with $31 million or 99 cents per share in the year-earlier quarter. The bottom line surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 12 cents.In 2021, GAAP net income came in at $49.4 million or $1.59 per share compared with $58.3 million or $1.90 per share in 2020. Non-GAAP net income for the year was $75.8 million or $2.44 per share compared with $88.3 million or $2.88 per share in 2020.\nNETGEAR generated net revenues of $251.2 million, down 31.6% year over year. The downtick was mainly due to weakness in the CHP segment. The company witnessed a stabilized U.S. consumer Wi-Fi market. However, the lumpy nature of service provider business played a spoilsport. Although the demand for higher-margin SMB products remained quite solid, the segment had limited ability to meet customer demand in a supply-constrained environment with temporary factory closure caused by the Omicron variant. Strong demand for Wi-Fi 6 offerings played a major role. The top line lagged the consensus mark of $259 million.In 2021, NETGEAR\u2019s revenues totaled $1,168.1 million compared with $1,255.2 million in 2020.The company shipped nearly 2.7 million units, including 2 million nodes of wireless products, in the fourth quarter. NETGEAR\u2019s recently unveiled Quadband Wi-Fi 6E Orbi system has been applauded by both customers and industry experts. It provides up to 10 gigabit Internet speeds with less interference and lag. NETGEAR is the first company to introduce the quad-band solution to deliver unrivaled Wi-Fi performance to consumers.Region-wise, net revenues from the Americas were $159.4 million (63.5% of net revenues), down 38.6% year over year. EMEA (Europe, Middle East and Africa) revenues were $50 million (19.9%), down 25.8% while APAC (Asia Pacific Region) revenues grew 4.4% to $41.7 million (16.6%).The number of registered app users in the reported quarter was 13 million. NETGEAR ended the quarter with 584,000 service subscribers, exceeding its end-of-year projections of 575,000 subscribers for year-over-year growth of 33.6%. The company remains confident of tapping 750,000 paid subscribers by the end of 2022, backed by its higher penetration into the premium segment of the market. This indicates healthy potential for its long-term profitability growth.\nConnected Home, which includes Nighthawk, Orbi, Nighthawk Pro Gaming and Meural brands, generated net revenues of $174.2 million, down 41.2% year over year from $296.1 million owing to soft retail and service provider businesses, with the prior-year period being boosted by elevated consumer demand as a result of the pandemic. However, the segment witnessed strong demand for premium Wi-Fi mesh systems, including tri-band and quad-band Wi-Fi 6 mesh offerings.The company is making efforts to optimize retail channel partners' inventory levels in the current year period to align them to current demand expectations. NETGEAR holds about 44% share in U.S. retail Wi-Fi market, which includes mesh, routers, gateways and extenders.Driven by recovering switching business, revenues from SMB rose 8.6% year over year to $77 million. Amid a supply-constrained scenario, the segment showcased strong operational execution on the back of the growing demand for flexible working environments and new business formations. Robust demand for Wi-Fi 6 access points, low port count switches and SMB wireless products coupled with ProAV switching strength drove the momentum. A rise in sophisticated home office settings is expected to augment the SMB unit in the near future. The company holds about 52% share in U.S. retail switch market.\nAdjusted gross margin decreased to 30% from 30.6% due to lower revenues. Non-GAAP operating margin was 2.7% compared with 11% in the year-ago quarter owing to lower operating income.\nDuring the fourth quarter, NETGEAR provided $3.9 million of cash from operations. As of Dec 31, 2021, the company had $263.8 million in cash and cash equivalents with $341 million of total current liabilities compared with the respective tallies of $346.5 million and $365.1 million in the year-ago period.The company repurchased nearly 539,000 shares at an average price of $32.52 per share for $17.5 million during the fourth quarter of 2021. Despite the lingering impact of COVID-19, maintaining robust cash flow and strong liquidity position remain key priorities for NETGEAR in 2022.\nFor the first quarter of 2022, NETGEAR anticipates net revenues in the range of $225 million to $240 million. The guidance reflects a decline of CHP revenues from the retail channels together with a weak service provider business. SMB unit will also continue to face supply constraints, thereby restricting its ability to achieve full top-line potential.Owing to the lost leverage from the top line along with increasing freight costs, higher component costs and numerous disruptions on the logistics front, GAAP operating margin is estimated to be in the (1.5)% to (0.5)% range. Non-GAAP operating margin is expected in the range of 1-2%. The company remains optimistic that sea transportation costs will reduce with SMB supply improving in the second half of 2022, thereby creating a favorable environment for top and bottom lines.\nGiven the uncertain macroeconomic conditions stemming from the COVID-19 pandemic, NETGEAR continues to witness supply chain hurdles due to higher freight costs and delivery times, component shortages and productivity woes. However, the San Jose, CA-based company is focused on bolstering its presence in the consumer networking market on the back of higher demand for premium Wi-Fi products in response to the growing hybrid and remote work models and SMB segment strength.Thanks to its recurring revenue stream, it remains confident of maintaining its leadership in new product introduction based on the Wi-Fi 6 standards. This, in turn, is likely to drive positive cash flow amid a dynamic environment. The company aims to emerge as a pioneer of next-gen networking technologies like Wi-Fi 6 and Pro AV, thereby benefiting from advanced technological innovations. The company intends to capitalize on technology inflections, create new categories, build recurring subscription service revenues, boost its paid subscriber base and optimize channel inventory to propel its momentum.\nHow Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?\nIn the past month, investors have witnessed a downward trend in estimates review.\nThe consensus estimate has shifted 100% due to these changes.\nVGM Scores\nCurrently, NETGEAR, Inc. has a subpar Growth Score of D, a grade with the same score on the momentum front. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock was allocated a grade of C on the value side, putting it in the middle 20% for this investment strategy.\nOverall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of D. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.\nOutlook\nEstimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. Notably, NETGEAR, Inc. has a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). We expect an above average return from the stock in the next few months.\nNETGEAR, Inc. (NTGR) - free report >>\nOur experts picked 7 Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buy stocks with the best chance to skyrocket within the next 30-90 days.\nRecent stocks from this report have soared up to +178.7% in 3 months - this month's picks could be even better. See our report's 7 new picks today - it's really free!\nThis page has not been authorized, sponsored, or otherwise approved or endorsed by the companies represented herein. Each of the company logos represented herein are trademarks of Microsoft Corporation; Dow Jones & Company; Nasdaq, Inc.; Forbes Media, LLC; Investor's Business Daily, Inc.; and Morningstar, Inc.\nAt the center of everything we do is a strong commitment to independent research and sharing its profitable discoveries with investors. This dedication to giving investors a trading advantage led to the creation of our proven Zacks Rank stock-rating system. Since 1988 it has more than doubled the S&P 500 with an average gain of +23.96% per year. These returns cover a period from January 1, 1988 through October 2, 2023. Zacks Rank stock-rating system returns are computed monthly based on the beginning of the month and end of the month Zacks Rank stock prices plus any dividends received during that particular month. A simple, equally-weighted average return of all Zacks Rank stocks is calculated to determine the monthly return. The monthly returns are then compounded to arrive at the annual return. Only Zacks Rank stocks included in Zacks hypothetical portfolios at the beginning of each month are included in the return calculations. Zacks Ranks stocks can, and often do, change throughout the month. Certain Zacks Rank stocks for which no month-end price was available, pricing information was not collected, or for certain other reasons have been excluded from these return calculations.\n\nSource: Zacks Investment Research\n", + "timestamp_ms": 1646411453000, + "published_utc": "2022-03-04T16:30:53Z", + "article_url": "https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1877722/why-is-netgear-inc-ntgr-down-36-since-last-earnings-report", + "label_type": [ + "[1][c] Company-Specific News", + "[2][c] Stock Recommendations" + ], + "label_time": [ + "[1][a] Short-Term Retrospective (\u2264 3 months)", + "[2][b] Recent Trends (Past Few Weeks \u2013 Ongoing)", + "[3][a] Short-Term Outlook (Next 3\u20136 months)" + ], + "label_sentiment": [ + "[3][a] Bearish" + ] + }, + "trend": { + "input_percentage_change": -2.7307532441200166, + "input_bin_label": "-2% ~ -4%", + "output_percentage_change": -4.230323348112898, + "output_bin_label": "<-4%", + "overall_percentage_change": -10.729927007299263, + 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