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license: apache-2.0
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---
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license: apache-2.0
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+
---
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+
# Earth-2 Checkpoints: FourCastNet 3
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+
## Description:
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FourCastNet 3 advances global weather modeling by implementing a scalable, geometric
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machine learning (ML) approach to probabilistic ensemble forecasting. The approach is
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designed to respect spherical geometry and to accurately model the spatially
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correlated probabilistic nature of the problem, resulting in stable spectra and
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realistic dynamics across multiple scales. FourCastNet 3 delivers forecasting accuracy
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that surpasses leading conventional ensemble models and rivals the best diffusion-based
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methods, while producing forecasts 8 to 60 times faster than these approaches. In
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contrast to other ML approaches, FourCastNet 3 demonstrates excellent probabilistic
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calibration and retains realistic spectra, even at extended lead times of up to 60 days.
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All of these advances are realized using a purely convolutional neural network
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architecture specifically tailored for spherical geometry. Scalable and efficient
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large-scale training on 1024 GPUs and more is enabled by a novel training paradigm for
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combined model- and data-parallelism, inspired by domain decomposition methods in
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classical numerical models. Additionally, FourCastNet 3 enables rapid inference on a
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single GPU, producing a 60-day global forecast at 0.25°, 6-hourly resolution in under
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4 minutes. Its computational efficiency, medium-range probabilistic skill, spectral
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fidelity, and rollout stability at subseasonal timescales make it a strong candidate
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for improving meteorological forecasting and early warning systems through large
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ensemble predictions.
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+

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This model is ready for commercial/non-commercial use.
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### License/Terms of Use:
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[Apache 2.0 license](https://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0)
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### Deployment Geography:
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Global
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### Use Case:
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Industry, academic, and government research teams interested in medium-range and
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subseasonal-to-seasonal weather forecasting, and climate modeling.
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### Release Date:
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NGC 07/18/2025
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## Reference:
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**Papers**:
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- [FourCastNet 3: A geometric approach to probabilistic machine-learning weather forecasting at scale](https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.12144v2)
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- [Neural Operators with Localized Integral and Differential Kernels](https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.16845)
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- [Huge Ensembles Part I: Design of Ensemble Weather Forecasts using Spherical Fourier Neural Operators](https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.03100)
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- [Huge Ensembles Part II: Properties of a Huge Ensemble of Hindcasts Generated with Spherical Fourier Neural Operators](https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.01581)
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- [Spherical Fourier Neural Operators: Learning Stable Dynamics on the Sphere](https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.03838)
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**Code**:
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- [Makani](https://github.com/NVIDIA/makani)
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- [PhysicsNeMo](https://github.com/NVIDIA/physicsnemo)
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- [Earth2Studio](https://github.com/NVIDIA/earth2studio)
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- [torch-harmonics](https://github.com/NVIDIA/torch-harmonics)
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## Model Architecture:
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**Architecture Type:** Spherical Neural Operator. A fully convolutional architecture
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based on group convolutions defined on the sphere. Leverages both local and global
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convolutions. For details regarding the architecture refer to the
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[FourCastNet 3 paper](https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.12144v1). <br>
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**Network Architecture:** N/A <br>
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**Number of model parameters:** 710,867,670
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**Model datatype:** We recommend that the model is run in AMP with bf16, however, the
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inputs and outputs are typically float32.
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## Input:
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**Input Type:**
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- Tensor (72 surface and pressure-level variables)
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**Input Format:** PyTorch Tensor <br>
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**Input Parameters:**
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- Six Dimensional (6D) (batch, time, lead time, variable, latitude, longitude) <br>
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**Other Properties Related to Input:**
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- Input equi-rectangular latitude/longitude grid: 0.25 degree 721 x 1440
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- Input state weather variables: `u10m`, `v10m`, `u100m`, `v100m`, `t2m`, `msl`,
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`tcwv`, `u50`, `u100`, `u150`, `u200`, `u250`, `u300`, `u400`, `u500`, `u600`, `u700`,
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`u850`, `u925`, `u1000`, `v50`, `v100`, `v150`, `v200`, `v250`, `v300`, `v400`, `v500`,
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`v600`, `v700`, `v850`, `v925`, `v1000`, `z50`, `z100`, `z150`, `z200`, `z250`, `z300`,
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`z400`, `z500`, `z600`, `z700`, `z850`, `z925`, `z1000`, `t50`, `t100`, `t150`, `t200`,
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`t250`, `t300`, `t400`, `t500`, `t600`, `t700`, `t850`, `t925`, `t1000`, `q50`, `q100`,
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`q150`, `q200`, `q250`, `q300`, `q400`, `q500`, `q600`, `q700`, `q850`, `q925`, `q1000`
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- Time: datetime64
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For variable name information, review the Lexicon at [Earth2Studio](https://github.com/NVIDIA/earth2studio).
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## Output:
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**Output Type:** Tensor (72 surface and pressure-level variables) <br>
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**Output Format:** Pytorch Tensor <br>
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**Output Parameters:** Six Dimensional (6D) (batch, time, lead time, variable,
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latitude, longitude) <br>
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**Other Properties Related to Output:**
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- Output latitude/longitude grid: 0.25 degree 721 x 1440, same as input.
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- Output state weather variables: same as above.
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Our AI models are designed and/or optimized to run on NVIDIA GPU-accelerated systems.
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By leveraging NVIDIA’s hardware (e.g. GPU cores) and software frameworks (e.g., CUDA
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libraries), the model achieves faster training and inference times compared to
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CPU-only solutions.
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## Software Integration
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**Runtime Engine:** Pytorch <br>
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**Supported Hardware Microarchitecture Compatibility:** <br>
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- NVIDIA Ampere <br>
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- NVIDIA Hopper <br>
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- NVIDIA Turing <br>
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**Supported Operating System:**
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- Linux <br>
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## Model Version:
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**Model Version:** v1 <br>
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## Training, Testing, and Evaluation Datasets:
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**Total size (in number of data points):** 110,960 <br>
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**Total number of datasets:** 1<br>
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**Dataset partition:** training 95%, testing 2.5%, validation 2.5% <br>
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## Training Dataset:
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**Link:** [ERA5](https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/) <br>
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**Data Collection Method by dataset** <br>
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- Automatic/Sensors <br>
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**Labeling Method by dataset** <br>
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- Automatic/Sensors <br>
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**Properties:**
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ERA5 data for the period 1980-2015. ERA5 provides hourly estimates of various
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atmospheric, land, and oceanic climate variables. The data covers the Earth on a 30km
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grid and resolves the atmosphere at 137 levels. <br>
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## Testing Dataset:
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**Link:** [ERA5](https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/) <br>
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**Data Collection Method by dataset** <br>
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- Automatic/Sensors <br>
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**Labeling Method by dataset** <br>
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- Automatic/Sensors <br>
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**Properties:**
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ERA5 data for the period 2016-2017. ERA5 provides hourly estimates of various
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atmospheric, land, and oceanic climate variables. The data covers the Earth on a 30km
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grid and resolves the atmosphere at 137 levels. <br>
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## Evaluation Dataset:
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**Link:** [ERA5](https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/) <br>
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**Data Collection Method by dataset** <br>
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- Automatic/Sensors <br>
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**Labeling Method by dataset** <br>
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- Automatic/Sensors <br>
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**Properties:**
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ERA5 data for the period 2018-2019. ERA5 provides hourly estimates of various
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atmospheric, land, and oceanic climate variables. The data covers the Earth on a 30km
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grid and resolves the atmosphere at 137 levels. <br>
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## Inference:
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**Acceleration Engine:** Pytorch <br>
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**Test Hardware:**
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- A100 <br>
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- H100 <br>
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- L40S <br>
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## Ethical Considerations:
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NVIDIA believes Trustworthy AI is a shared responsibility and we have established
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policies and practices to enable development for a wide array of AI applications.
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When downloaded or used in accordance with our terms of service, developers should
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work with their internal model team to ensure this model meets requirements for the
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relevant industry and use case and addresses unforeseen product misuse.
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For more detailed information on ethical considerations for this model, please see the
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Model Card++ Explainability, Bias, Safety & Security, and Privacy Subcards.
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Please report model quality, risk, security vulnerabilities or NVIDIA AI Concerns [here](https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/support/submit-security-vulnerability/).
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