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"content": "Here is What to Know Beyond Why Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is a Trending Stock\nBy Zacks Equity Research\nPublished on: 2022-07-26T13:00:11Z\n\nCostco (COST) has received quite a bit of attention from Zacks.com users lately. Therefore, it is wise to be aware of the facts that can impact the stock's prospects.\n\nArticle Content:\n\nCOST Quick QuoteCOST\nCostco (COST Quick QuoteCOST - Free Report) has recently been on Zacks.com's list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance in the near future.\nOver the past month, shares of this warehouse club operator have returned +9.8%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.4% change. During this period, the Zacks Retail - Discount Stores industry, which Costco falls in, has gained 6.2%. The key question now is: What could be the stock's future direction?\nWhile media releases or rumors about a substantial change in a company's business prospects usually make its stock 'trending' and lead to an immediate price change, there are always some fundamental facts that eventually dominate the buy-and-hold decision-making.\nEarnings Estimate Revisions\nHere at Zacks, we prioritize appraising the change in the projection of a company's future earnings over anything else. That's because we believe the present value of its future stream of earnings is what determines the fair value for its stock.\nWe essentially look at how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to reflect the impact of the latest business trends. And if earnings estimates go up for a company, the fair value for its stock goes up. A higher fair value than the current market price drives investors' interest in buying the stock, leading to its price moving higher. This is why empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.\nFor the current quarter, Costco is expected to post earnings of $4.08 per share, indicating a change of +4.6% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed +0.5% over the last 30 days.\nFor the current fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $13.08 points to a change of +18.1% from the prior year. Over the last 30 days, this estimate has changed +0.2%.\nFor the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $14.31 indicates a change of +9.4% from what Costco is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed +0.4%.\nHaving a strong externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool, the Zacks Rank, offers a more conclusive picture of a stock's price direction in the near term, since it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. Due to the size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, Costco is rated Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).\nThe chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:\n12 Month EPS\nProjected Revenue Growth\nWhile earnings growth is arguably the most superior indicator of a company's financial health, nothing happens as such if a business isn't able to grow its revenues. After all, it's nearly impossible for a company to increase its earnings for an extended period without increasing its revenues. So, it's important to know a company's potential revenue growth.\nIn the case of Costco, the consensus sales estimate of $71.02 billion for the current quarter points to a year-over-year change of +13.3%. The $225.88 billion and $246.36 billion estimates for the current and next fiscal years indicate changes of +15.3% and +9.1%, respectively.\nLast Reported Results and Surprise History\nCostco reported revenues of $52.6 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +16.2%. EPS of $3.17 for the same period compares with $2.75 a year ago.\nCompared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $52.28 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of +0.61%. The EPS surprise was +5.67%.\nThe company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters. The company topped consensus revenue estimates three times over this period.\nValuation\nWithout considering a stock's valuation, no investment decision can be efficient. In predicting a stock's future price performance, it's crucial to determine whether its current price correctly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects.\nComparing the current value of a company's valuation multiples, such as its price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), to its own historical values helps ascertain whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, whereas comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of how reasonable its stock price is.\nAs part of the Zacks Style Scores system, the Zacks Value Style Score (which evaluates both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics) organizes stocks into five groups ranging from A to F (A is better than B; B is better than C; and so on), making it helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.\nCostco is graded C on this front, indicating that it is trading at par with its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.\nBottom Line\nThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Costco. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term.\nCostco Wholesale Corporation (COST) - free report >>\nOur experts picked 7 Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buy stocks with the best chance to skyrocket within the next 30-90 days.\nRecent stocks from this report have soared up to +178.7% in 3 months - this month's picks could be even better. See our report's 7 new picks today, absolutely FREE.\nThis page has not been authorized, sponsored, or otherwise approved or endorsed by the companies represented herein. Each of the company logos represented herein are trademarks of Microsoft Corporation; Dow Jones & Company; Nasdaq, Inc.; Forbes Media, LLC; Investor's Business Daily, Inc.; and Morningstar, Inc.\nAt the center of everything we do is a strong commitment to independent research and sharing its profitable discoveries with investors. This dedication to giving investors a trading advantage led to the creation of our proven Zacks Rank stock-rating system. Since 1988 it has more than doubled the S&P 500 with an average gain of +23.96% per year. These returns cover a period from January 1, 1988 through October 2, 2023. Zacks Rank stock-rating system returns are computed monthly based on the beginning of the month and end of the month Zacks Rank stock prices plus any dividends received during that particular month. A simple, equally-weighted average return of all Zacks Rank stocks is calculated to determine the monthly return. The monthly returns are then compounded to arrive at the annual return. Only Zacks Rank stocks included in Zacks hypothetical portfolios at the beginning of each month are included in the return calculations. Zacks Ranks stocks can, and often do, change throughout the month. Certain Zacks Rank stocks for which no month-end price was available, pricing information was not collected, or for certain other reasons have been excluded from these return calculations.\n\nSource: Zacks Investment Research\n",
"timestamp_ms": 1658840411000,
"published_utc": "2022-07-26T13:00:11Z",
"article_url": "https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1957746/here-is-what-to-know-beyond-why-costco-wholesale-corporation-cost-is-a-trending-stock",
"label_type": [
"[1][c] Company-Specific News",
"[2][a] Fundamental Analysis",
"[2][c] Stock Recommendations"
],
"label_time": [
"[2][b] Recent Trends (Past Few Weeks \u2013 Ongoing)",
"[3][a] Short-Term Outlook (Next 3\u20136 months)"
],
"label_sentiment": [
"[1][b] Growth-Oriented"
]
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